# Don’t Think of a Ticking Timebomb

Andrew Gelman over at Overcoming Bias proposes that there is a “one-sided bet” fallacy. He describes it as “see[ing] only half the problem” and “not realiz[ing] that there are any tradeoffs at all.” To get my nitpicking out of the way: his description isn’t quite accurate as he applies it to many situations where the…